Well,
@mikgle, if you read on you'll see I got the 18 panels and slightly wish I'd filled in the remainng space under the right-hand velux window with two more. They can produce nearly 8 kw when they're not being strangled by the 5 kw inverter (i.e. when the battery isn't at 100%). They can produce stacks of export. On the other hand, on a day like today, they can just about support the house base load! Right now, at noon in August, they are generating 236 watts! Yes, I know.
I'm still getting to grips with how best to operate the system because I've only had my export tariff for about ten days. I see that yesterday evening's exercise with the battery sent 4.32 kwh to the grid, which sounds about right because I thought I had 8 kwh to spare, but then used about half of that to run the fan heater. So that's 65p for doing pretty much nothing, on an unfavourable day (heater use).
Honestly, the way the weather is, I think I'll have to turn on the central heating when I get back from this trip. The conservatory isn't getting enough solar gain to keep it warm even in the middle of the day, and when I left it last night (the room where the fan heater was going) the rest of the house was noticeably cold. In bloody August. Jet stream problems as usual I suppose.
I was looking at the weather for where I'm going in Sussex. 20C with sunny intervals. Perfect. Why did I ever move back home? I expect there will be plenty days in winter when I won't export any solar. Indeed, when there may be no actual generations. But I'll still have to see how well the 9.5 kwh battery copes with running the house from 5.30 am to 11.30 pm if there's no solar to help. Will there be anything left to export? Doesn't really matter, if there's enough that I don't have to import at peak rate prices.
I just hope we get a bit more sunshine next year. An Indian summer would be nice, too.