Any agreement which says "Guaranteed future value" actually means the amount you will still owe the finance company if you wish to purchase the car. It is NEVER an actual valuation of what the car will be worth.

I had a Ford Ka on PCP years ago and at the end of the PCP it was in negative equity, so I walked away and let the dealer or Ford deal with the loss.

For me if the car valuation at the end of the PCP is £15,000 and you can buy the same spec/age/milage car at the time for less you give the car back and buy the cheaper one.

Ex demo XPower with a few hundred miles on the clock are selling on AutoTrader for around £27,000, mine is 2 months old with 1,000 miles on the clock and the lease company said as new it was £36,500 ish. Just one reason I am leasing is so I will not take the hit on any depreciation and can just walk away from the car in 3 years if that makes financial sense.
 
You should think yourself lucky, mine's 8 months old I paid £33K and it's worth £19.5k on Carwow.
:(
 
NEVER buy a new (cheap car (under £40k or so )), if you're looking to break even selling it in a few years. It just doesn't work with the devaluation of the VAT as soon as you drive it off the forecourt.
 
I must admit the after years of cheap leasing and the MG4 being the first car I bought outright the depreciation was horrible and something that worried me daily - all the maths I did when I bought the car had gone to pot as the EV used car market crashed big time.

I sold my SR for £19,500 3/4months ago and I’m glad I did as it’s lost ££££ more since. ( I saw 2 year old corsa e’s being sold for £12k and guessed my MG could be worth similar )

I’m now I a 4 year old e-golf which I’ll use for 2 years and move on which should only lose a few grand at worse.
 
Everyone has a different comfort zone on this and the trick is to stay within it, and to look ahead to see that you'll still be able to stay within it if things change.

I bought my car new for £26,950 because I wanted a new car. I knew it would depreciate the minute I drove it off the forecourt, but since I have no intention of selling it, it doesn't matter. If things go as planned, any residual value it has in 15 years or so is gravy, and I've had a car I'll love for 15 years.

But what if it turns out to have been a bad buy? Really cheap car in comparison to its competitors, which corners have they cut, what have they skimped on, maybe it won't last? Well it should last its warranty period anyway, and at least it was relatively cheap to begin with. If used EV prices get really cheap then while I might not have much equity in my car, I should be able to find a nice used-car bargain if I really need to get rid of it.

What if all these great advances in EV technology that we're told are coming in the next few years mean that I'm really, really hankering for the new tech? And that has caused the value of the old tech to drop a long way? Well, either I resist the lure of the new, or I console myself that the most I can possibly lose on a £26,950 car is £26,950, and in practice it will never be that.

I'm looking at insurance renewal quotes and they seem to think my 9-month-old car is worth £19,500. I don't care, they're not having it.
 
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All good points above, to summarise:

- Buying a new car is a loss making investment, no matter how cheap it is to run you'll lose thousands in depreciation immediately.

- You can protect yourself against future value uncertainty through a PCP or Lease (but you are still paying for the depreciation and paying for the security), there's no free lunch.

- Having a new car is very nice and isn't about making financial sense, just relax and enjoy it.

In some ways it reminds me of people spending £25k for amazing house solar+battery+heat pump setups that save them £750-£1.5k/yr. It's fun, it's exciting, it's environmentally good, it is cheap to run, but it actually makes little sense financially except over many many years. But so what? Life's too short so why not enjoy it!
 
Depreciation happens to everything you buy new. A new 49" Samsung smart TV costs £339 and a similar specification 1 year old used good condition one is available on Ebay for £80 or 23.6% depreciation.
Or on a £33,000 MG4 trophy with the same depreciation it would be worth £25,000 which is about what Arnold Clark are selling them for.
 
.............And it would have cost you far more to lease.

You may be right for an MG4 SE LR but personally I think its well worth looking at the figures on a personal lease at the moment. There are some great deals out there on other cars / models compared to buying. It may not be the case with the OP and his SE LR but based on his figures after three years he may be left around £17.3K out of pocket (28.5K purchase + 3.8K credit fees less a car that may be worth £15K (= £17.3K lost). Hopefully the car will be worth more than £15K at the end so he can keep it or sell it for a bit more and pay off the £15K balloon payment and pocket the difference).

Now looking at an Xpower lease just an as an example (a more expensive list price) :-

Over 3 years you can pay £15,038 for 10,000 miles a year with no risk of depreciation etc. and get any metallic colour included.

Obviously lease prices at the time the OP bought his car would have been different but the point I'm making is that any new prospective owner should do the maths on a personal lease.

Xpower Lease.jpg
 
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I bought my MG4 LR 18 months ago for £28.5k with £7k down, so £21.5k credit to pay + about £3.8k interest over 36 months (7%), £15k guaranteed at the end. Asked for a settlement fee the other day, 18 months in, and that was £19.5k. Can't find an offer over £20k anywhere for the car, so essentially it looks like I've lost my £7k in 18 months and am now worried I'll only just about break even in another 18 months when it comes time to walk away. I have gap insurance but I'll lose 100% of the equity I have in the car - that strikes me as enormous deprecation, unless I'm missing something, not good at all.
All cars inc EVs have crashed lately
 
That same vid was linked in post #7 :)

Take the results with a pinch of salt, as they're based on trade values not consumer prices.
Yes, what I've noticed are that dealers are getting greedy. Due to their idiotic overbuying of second hand cars when prices were high and they're now looking for £5k+ profits on second hand cars to make up their losses, whereas before all the malarky they were only seeking £2-3k.
 
nobody can beat my insta depreciation loss..
bought my MG 4 ev at sticker price at 35,419 pounds... 3 months later dealership reduced the price to 21,909 pounds ( after conversion of my indonesian currency...
just like that my 3 months old car costs brand new like its used for 10 years already

actually...
nobody can beat my insta depreciation loss..
bought my MG 4 ev at sticker price at 35,419 pounds... 3 months later dealership reduced the price to 21,909 pounds ( after conversion of my indonesian currency...
just like that my 3 months old car costs brand new like its used for 10 years already
its more like 6400pounds...
thats is to put into account of tax credit , discount etc...

and MG indonesia compensated us by doubling our warranty.

16 years / 320k KM on battery warranty
10 years /150k KM FREE service and spare parts on the maintenance book.
8 years/ unlimited whole car warranty...


the reason for price drop was. the early MG4 was imported from thailand.
now its gonna be assembled in Indonesia..

so. its not that bad as it sounds early on..
but nonetheless i was bullied in the beginning of the news..
 
Never owned a car before? That kind of depreciation seems normal.

I bought a laguna estate once. Dealer demonstrator with 6 months 6k miles. 18k new sold to me for 12k

3 years later i got 4,500 for it

Thats depreciation
That's only 62.5% in 3 years which was the normal expected rate.
We're talking about big losses in 1 year.
 
Actually the depreciation mentioned is:
  • 33% lost after 6 months
  • 75% lost after 3 years 6 months

Both are big. (We need to relate to the new price to compare with new MG purchases).
I was talking about just his own depreciation from when he bought it at £12K which is not so bad after over 3 years.
 

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